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Episode 3 - Who lives? Who Dies?

5/1/2019

2 Comments

 
47 people made predictions for The Long Night that turned about to be about 8 - 10 hours of actual night before Melisandre went and offed herself. If you'd like access to that data along with my final status choices, you can find it here.

There were 31 characters at the ready for episode 3. I looked at the data in two ways. How many alive/dead choices did each entry predict correctly and how many detailed choices did each entry predict correctly.
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24 out of 31 leading the way seems low to me. Let's see what went well and what didn't. I'm going to start with dead characters and count any zombification prediction as dead for the sake of ease. One entry left a bunch of blanks so I'll leave that out as well.

Beric - 41 / 46, 89% predicted his death.
Eddison - 40 / 46, 87% predicted his death.
Jorah - 34 / 46, 74% predicted his death.
Theon - 32 / 46, 70% predicted his death.
Viserion - 30 / 46, 65% predicted his death.
Lyanna - 28 / 46, 61% predicted her death.
Night King - 25 / 46, 54% predicted his death.

As noted here a significant number of people thought Yohn and Grey Worm were going down. In a show where the directors aren't in it for fan service, maybe that happens.

2 Comments
Riley
5/1/2019 05:03:45 pm

I'm the best!

Reply
Chris (The Gentleman Bastard)
5/1/2019 05:27:42 pm

Did I not have an entry? I remember filling it out, but I was in an area with awful service so it may not have went through.

As long as you don’t have my actual score, im gonna go with having 100% success rate.

Reply



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    Shane of Thrones author, Shane, doesn't have the spare time needed to do this. But here he is because he's a hero. 

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