Episode 3 - Who lives? Who Dies?

47 people made predictions for The Long Night that turned about to be about 8 - 10 hours of actual night before Melisandre went and offed herself. If you'd like access to that data along with my final status choices, you can find it here.

There were 31 characters at the ready for episode 3. I looked at the data in two ways. How many alive/dead choices did each entry predict correctly and how many detailed choices did each entry predict correctly.

24 out of 31 leading the way seems low to me. Let's see what went well and what didn't. I'm going to start with dead characters and count any zombification prediction as dead for the sake of ease. One entry left a bunch of blanks so I'll leave that out as well.

Beric - 41 / 46, 89% predicted his death.
Eddison - 40 / 46, 87% predicted his death.
Jorah - 34 / 46, 74% predicted his death.
Theon - 32 / 46, 70% predicted his death.
Viserion - 30 / 46, 65% predicted his death.
Lyanna - 28 / 46, 61% predicted her death.
Night King - 25 / 46, 54% predicted his death.

As noted here a significant number of people thought Yohn and Grey Worm were going down. In a show where the directors aren't in it for fan service, maybe that happens.